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Keeping An Eye Out
JPL has started maintaining a status page on potential earth impactors.
I still think that we need to get the Corp of Engineers working on this.
[via emailer Paul Breed]
Posted by Rand Simberg at December 23, 2004 11:17 AM
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Excerpt: If I'm reading this right, the world will come to an end* on April 13, 2029. Darn, and I was so looking forward to turning 51 someday... * Well, there's a 3% chance, anyway...
Weblog: Moronicity Abounds
Tracked: December 27, 2004 12:01 PM
Comments
Rand, you may want to re-think this. Look at the Corps of Engineers performance during the saga of Kenniwick Man. They appear to be thoroughly politicized.
Now, my pick would be NORAD, as they are already charged with the responsibility for tracking man made things, let them expand the mission to track objects of natural origin.
Rich
Posted by Rich at December 23, 2004 12:47 PM
As someone who has dealt with the COE, not no but Hell No!
The ACOE needs to be broken up and functions spread around. It is a vesitge of a bygone frontier day. Why the hell is the Army playing with dams, flood control and navigable waterways?
Split their functions to EPA, Dept of the Interior and US Fish and Wildlife.
Posted by Mike Puckett at December 23, 2004 02:24 PM
"Now, my pick would be NORAD, as they are already charged with the responsibility for tracking man made things, let them expand the mission to track objects of natural origin."
And unnatural objects too - they have a tradition of tracking flying sleighs too.
Posted by Al at December 23, 2004 03:13 PM
Two days after I sent Rand the E-Mail the
odds have gone from one chance in 233 to one chance in 63....
Better than a 1% chance of impact and the energy would be about 1600 Mega Tons or 80,000 Hiroshimas.
Posted by Paul Breed at December 24, 2004 12:04 PM
Two days after I sent Rand the E-Mail the
odds have gone from one chance in 233 to one chance in 63....
I believe it's 1 in 45 now.
Posted by Neil Halelamien at December 26, 2004 02:15 AM
Why not really look ahead, and slow them down into near earth orbit, sort of like the Heinlein story that introduced Anderew Jackson Libby?
Posted by augustr at December 27, 2004 12:54 PM
1 in 37 now.
How low till Congress gives us a blank check?
Posted by Mike Puckett at December 27, 2004 01:39 PM
1 in 37. That's like betting on a number on a single zero r0ulette wheel.
Deliberate misspelling due to: Your comment could not be submitted due to questionable content: How are we supposed to talk about probablilty if the vocabularity is denied to us by spammers?
Posted by Raoul Ortega at December 27, 2004 03:12 PM
Fudge. We don't need a blank check - we need a true space faring capability so we have a variety of choices to make when/if we have to take action on junk that has our name on it.
Last minute slap-dash missions with a low chance of success make entertaining fiction but we don't need the drama in real life.
I'd bet my house that we can _get_ that by letting an informed citizenry of millions make their own descisions about space, junk the silly rules and not handing NASA or SpaceGaurd a blank check.
Posted by Brian at December 27, 2004 06:46 PM
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