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« A Poisonous Brew | Main | The End Of The War »

Because We Can

Amidst pointing out why the Soviet Union was deterrable, and Saddam may not be, Eugene Volokh makes an important point this morning on the subject of deterring Iraq.

Finally, we should recognize that while deterrence worked during the Cold War, it was a very high-risk strategy. We relied on deterrence because we had no choice. Right now, it seems like we do have a choice; we can preemptively strike against Iraq much more cheaply than we could have preemptively struck against the USSR. And if we miss this opportunity, we might be placed in a situation where deterrence won't work nearly as well as it fortunately did work against the Soviets.

I've posted before on the problem with the argument that toppling Saddam puts us on a slippery slope (e.g., if Saddam, why not Mugabe, who is apparently as vicious, or Pakistan, which also has nukes), and that the response to this is that a number of factors go into the decision--no single one can justify it.

Professor Volokh points out one more. In addition to all the other reasons, like the dog that licks his own privates, we should take out Saddam because we can.

If we could have defeated the Soviet Union earlier at an acceptable cost and risk to ourselves, the Cold War would, and should, have been a hot one. We lived for over forty years in a very high-risk state (which also prevented us from decisively defending, for example, the people of northern Korea from communism) because we had no other choice, not because we had no cause to defeat the Soviets. Because they had nukes and the ability to deliver them, we could not risk an actual war with them. Had Hitler gotten them, we might very well have ended up with a stalemate in Europe just as long-lasting as the one with the Soviets.

The longer we wait to take out Saddam (and the other toxic governments of the region) the greater the risk that the risk of taking him out will become unacceptable. The notion that we should wait until he is closer to having nuclear weapons, or actually has them, before we respond to him, is simply bizarre.

Posted by Rand Simberg at September 10, 2002 09:11 AM
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What I've wondered, and not seen addressed, is why it is that everyone wonders who will supplant Saddam Hussein. Saddam Hussein should be followed by a military governor, appointed by the President of the United States and confirmed by the Senate.

After 20 years of bringing McDonald's and the Gap to Iraq, as well as all of the essential institutions of capitalism and liberal democracy, and teaching them how to vote in local and then regional elections, then we should give the governance of Iraq back over to the people of Iraq.

In short, I am arguing that we adapt the argument of the radical Islamic militants that this is a culture war, and we set out to win it with our culture. Let's face it, if this is a culture war, our advantage is even greater than the military imbalance would suggest.

Posted by Jeff Medcalf at September 10, 2002 09:31 AM

like the dog that licks his privates, we should take out Saddam because we can.

I'm afraid I'll have to void my lunch now... The mental imagery brought up by your analogy was just too much. Please don't do that again! Thank you. ;^)

Posted by eli at September 10, 2002 09:52 AM

Rand take that dog that keeps licking Saddam's privates and put it outside, Bad dog OUTSIDE!!

Posted by Hefty at September 10, 2002 12:23 PM

OK, to remove (or at least reduce) ambiguity, I've made it "...his own privates..."

Posted by Rand Simberg at September 10, 2002 12:47 PM

Get that dog some corporals and sergeants too, while we're at it.

Posted by Kevin McGehee at September 10, 2002 04:11 PM


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