More Reefer Madness

A reader emails:

Regarding your section “Lies, Damned Lies And Statistics” on your weblog today, you quoted Bob Weiner as saying that THC was the second leading cause of car crashes. I did some quick research and this certainly appears to be false. In fact, the studies specifically find that THC is only statistically significant if used in combination with another drug.

See the following links:

Link 1

Link 2

The definitive review would appear to be this one, because it appeared in Epidemiologic Reviews:

Link 3

Unfortunately, this journal does not have full-text articles (or even abstracts) available on-line to that date.

What, a (former) government official lie about effects of illegal drugs? I’m shocked, shocked…

Soldier Boy

In honor of Bubba’s new-found love of the military, Doug from Upland over at Free Republic has come up with a song.

To the tune of “Soldier Boy“:

Soldier boy?Willy, you’re my soldier boy
I’m so hot for you

You were a coward?on you I had soured
Now that you have changed your tune?I’m so hot for you

I hear you said?you’re not scared of bloodshed?you would fight till you’re dead
Now I’m so hot for you

Iraq you’re scorning?you gave them a warning
With the Jews you’d stand and fight?I’m so hot for you

I hear you said?you’re not scared of bloodshed?you would fight till you’re dead
Now I’m so hot for you

Soldier boy?Willy, you’re my soldier boy
I’m so hot for you

More OKC Middle-Eastern Links

Jim Crogan at the LA Weekly continues to cover the story that no one else will. The FBI shut down an investigation into domestic terrorist training camps, which trained two people from Oklahoma City in the early ’90s.

The Weekly has learned that Chicago-based special agent Robert Wright has accused the agency of shutting down his 1998 criminal probe into alleged terrorist-training camps in Chicago and Kansas City. The apparent goal of the training camps, according to confidential documents obtained by the Weekly, was to recruit and train Palestinian-American youths, who would then slip into Israel. Recruits at these camps reportedly received weapons training and instruction in bomb-making techniques in the early 1990s. The bomb- making curriculum included the sort of explosives later used in the 1995 Oklahoma City bombing. And government documents state that two trainees came from the Oklahoma City area.

More Airport Insecurity

Bob Poole (with whom I discussed this issue at a Reason reception in LA last month) says that the current plans for airport security are both unachievable and useless. Of course, that’s not news to anyone with half a brain. Unfortunately, the people making the decisions don’t seem to meet that criterion, even after canning Magaw.

…deadlines are just part of the problem. The machines that TSA purchased to screen luggage give false positives, or miss explosives entirely, more than 30 percent of the time. And they’re agonizingly slow, scanning just 150-200 bags per hour under real-world conditions.

Salt Lake City International Airport used the TSA’s explosive-trace-detection machines during the 2002 Winter Olympics and averaged a paltry 76 bags per hour – a number that would bring U.S. air travel to a stop.

There are better, faster, cheaper machines available. But, in typical fashion, our government has yet to approve the most reliable and quickest screening machines now used in Europe’s airports. So instead, we are buying untrustworthy, expensive machines to meet a self-imposed deadline.

The Last Straw?

Well, this latest bombing was more of a strategic disaster for Hamas than they could have imagined–they killed three Americans. And they did it in the Frank Sinatra cafeteria.

President Bush’s moral clarity had seemed to become increasingly muddled and muddied over the past few months as he waded into the Middle East situation, which was exactly what our enemies were looking for. But his speech a few weeks ago, in which he stated clearly that Arafat was not someone with whom to deal in good faith, was the first step on his path out of the moral wilderness, and I suspect that today’s attacks have completed it, based on the Jerusalem Post article cited above. Here’s the key sentence:

…there was no call at the White House and the State Department for Israel to exercise restraint.

I’m only sad that it took the deaths of Americans to reach this point.

[Update on Thursday morning]

Now it’s five Americans killed.

Pork Versus Pork

Congressman Dave Weldon (R-FL), in whose district the Kennedy Space Center (KSC) resides, is upset with his colleagues in the Senate.

Some of them apparently want to develop the Wallops Island launch facility (WFF in the letter below) in Virginia (currently used to launch small rockets) as a potential rival to Cape Canaveral and KSC.

I was very disappointed to discover that the Senate’s FY 2003 VA-HUD Independent Agencies appropriation bill contains language that acknowledges Wallops Flight Facility (WFF) as the “launch and recovery site for next generation launch vehicles” and directs Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC) to utilize WFF “as a site for testing and demonstration of new launch vehicles and technology development.”

I think you would agree with me that this is unacceptable. Kennedy Space Center has been and will continue to be the nation’s leading civil space launch site. WFF is capable of handling small launch vehicles at best. The costs involved with outfitting WFF to handle a next generation launch vehicle would be quite sizeable. All while NASA’s budget is limited and facilities at KSC are allowed to crumble and deteriorate.

Additionally, any potential military utilization of next generation launch vehicles are greatly aided by KSC’s close proximity to Patrick Air Force Base (PAFB) and Cape Canaveral Air Force Station (CCAFS). If this new vehicle were located at WFF, there is not nearly the military space capabilities nearby with the level of competency we already have in Florida.

I urge you to take action to remove this anti-Florida language. You can be sure I will do all I can to assist you in this effort and prevent it from becoming law.

Sincerely,

Dave Weldon, M.D.
Member of Congress

Cc: Jeb Bush; Governor
Sean O’Keefe; Administrator of NASA
Roy Bridges; Center Director of KSC
Brig. General John Gregory Pavlovich; Wing Commander for the 45th Space Wing
Ed Gormel; Director of the Florida Space Authority
Art Stephenson; Center Director of MSFC

Note the courtesy copy list: governor of Florida (and brother of the President) Jeb Bush, the center directors at Kennedy itself, and Marshall (which is supposedly in charge of developing new launch systems), the commander of the Air Force bases at the Cape, and the director of the organization responsible for developing Kennedy into a commercial spaceport. He means business.

And it’s not just a defense of his home-state pork in preference to shifting taxpayer funds to the Commonwealth of Virginia (though it certainly is some of that). The KSC facilities really are corroding away and sometimes literally falling down around workers’ ears, though it’s not as bad as the situation in Russia.

But there’s an assumption in this whole brouhaha that is not necessarily valid. The senators who want to move the money to Wallops and Congressman Weldon agree on one thing–they assume that spaceports of the future will be like those of the past, and that the “next-generation launch vehicle” will require a facility like that currently existing at the Cape.

Back in the olden days of rocketry yore, all rockets, even successfully-launched ones, routinely dropped hardware along their flight path as they departed from the launch pad and headed downrange into orbit. Thus, it made sense to put launch sites on sea coasts, where they could carpet with spent rocket stages the bottom of the Atlantic ocean rather than, say, Chicago.

This was particularly the case for rockets like the Titan series, that would cause damage not only from the impact itself, but from the residual toxic propellants that they carried. There’s a huge environmental cleanup problem in Kazakhstan that resulted from the large quantity of rocket detritus from Soviet launches out of Baikonur.

Another feature of old (and current) rockets is their extensive infrastructure requirements in the form of high-bay assembly buildings, and launch pads, and the need for extensive clear area around them, both for protection against the chance of an explosion on the pad, and because of the tremendous sound levels that a rocket emits at liftoff.

The existing ranges also have a function called “range safety,” which, perversely, is the name for a guy whose job description is to watch the launch while sitting close by a button that can blow the rocket to smithereenies if anything goes wrong.

But these requirements are one of the things that make previous (and current) generation launch vehicles expensive, unreliable and unwieldy. A next-generation launch vehicle, if it’s worthy of the name, should take an entirely different approach to launch operations, and if it does so, most of what we think we know about requirements for spaceports is wrong. This is bad news for both the Cape and Wallops Island.

For one thing, unless it’s having a really bad day, it won’t be shedding parts downrange, any more than aircraft do. Space transports will be fully reusable, or they won’t be affordable. And there will be no “range safety devices” (a euphemism for explosive charges to blow up the vehicle) in space transports for the same reason that we don’t put them in air transports–the vehicle (and its contents) are too valuable to simply destroy it if it seems to be off course.

If some of the concepts for new space transports pan out, they will perhaps take off horizontally, with much lower thrust, and much less noise, and they won’t sit on scarce and expensive launch pads for weeks or months, but take off on standard runways. Payloads will be integrated into removable cargo canisters, and cargo and passengers will be loaded into them on a tarmac, rather than in high-bay assembly buildings.

If that’s the case, the spaceports that support them could be almost anywhere–not just at verges between land and ocean, launched from government-subsidized facilities, with men hovering over buttons that will destroy them at the slightest variation from plan.

And if they don’t pan out, the phrase “next-generation launch vehicles” will be an empty and meaningless one, and they’ll be little better–in terms of cost, reliability and routine operations–than current-generation launch vehicles. And space, even near-earth space, will remain a region little visited, and extremely sparsely populated. And the promises made to the children of Apollo will continue to be needlessly unfulfilled.

I’m sure that Congressman Weldon, and the other supposed representatives of the people, would like to see near-earth space filled with life, and love, and they’d like to see expeditions setting off from earth-orbital ports to the distant planets, to explore and seek out new homes for humanity, providing life insurance for our fragile planet.

But I fear that, if that vision means fewer jobs in their states and congressional districts, the vision will be sacrificed for the jobs, because that’s the way of the government’s space “program…”

Biting Commentary about Infinity…and Beyond!