Speak For Yourself

Jake Gyllenhaal says that “…every man goes through a period of thinking they’re attracted to another guy.”

That’s the problem with the homosexuality debate. Everyone takes their own sensibilities and projects them onto everyone else. For the record, I’ve never “gone through a period of thinking that I was attracted to another guy,” so here’s where Mr. Gyllenhaal’s theory falls to the ground. Much of the debate over the innateness of sexual attraction occurs among people who are to some degree bisexual (which is why so many think it’s a “choice,” since for them it is, and so they assume it is for everyone). But for me, and pure homosexuals, it is clearly not.

Another Casualty Of Shuttle-Derived Vehicles?

If this story is true, it looks like Prometheus is dead. No nuclear propulsion for the foreseeable future.

This part, though, is a little puzzling:

NASA had hoped to develop the nuclear propulsion system to carry spacecraft beyond the solar system, according to a June 19 story in the Times Union.

That’s news to me. I thought the program’s purpose was to enable easier exploration of the solar system, not to go beyond it.

A History Of Two Wars

For better or worse, other than my postings on space policy, to the degree that I’ve any repute at all, I’ve become best known in the blogosphere through spoofing the modern media by showing how they would have reported an earlier war. A war that, instead of being kicked off (at least for us) by a surprise attack on New York on a sunny Tuesday morning in September, was kicked off (at least for us) by a surprise attack on a sunny Sunday morning in Oahu, Hawai’i.

On the first anniversary of that attack, it was just a month after the US invasion of northern Africa, to take on Rommel’s Afrika Korps, on the heels of the British and Allied victory at El Alamein. Earlier that year, in the summer, we had engaged in the first all-US air attack on Europe. It would only be a few days before we would first learn of massacres of Jews by the Nazi SS.

On the other side of the world, in the Pacific, on that very day we were establishing a beachhead in Buna, New Guinea, and engaged in bloody ground and naval warfare to evict the Japanese forces from Guadalcanal, following up on our landmark victory over the Imperial Japanese Navy at Midway in the summer.

And five days before that anniversary in 1942, a physics professor named Enrico Fermi first set up a secret laboratory in Chicago to build the world’s first nuclear reactor, to manufacture the fuel needed for the first nuclear weapons.

On the first anniversary of September 11, we had removed the Taliban from power in Afghanistan, and were preparing to expand the war into the Middle East itself, with plans advancing to remove the brutal dictator Saddam Hussein from power, and in his place establish a beachhead for democracy in the very heart of Arabia.

On the second anniversary of Pearl Harbor, we were engaged in continuing island-by-island warfare in the Pacific, with fierce fighting in the Gilbert Islands, Tarawa and other places, seeing the Japanese forces in a slow and bloody retreat. In Europe, Mussolini’s Italy had fallen to Allied forces and changed allegiances two months before, declaring war on Nazi Germany. A week and a half before, on November 28th, 1943, the three Allied leaders–Churchill, Roosevelt and Stalin–had met in Teheran, Iran, and determined to continue the war and liberate France. They also elicited a pledge from Stalin to join the war in the Pacific once Germany was defeated (which turned out in retrospect to be a lousy deal, as he clearly had not only no interest, but an opposition to a free post-war Europe).

In September, 2003, we had deposed Saddam, and were commemorating the second anniversary of the attack on the twin towers. But unfortunately, it became clear at that point that much of the media no longer took the war seriously, based on the foolish themes that appeared in their stories at the time, and their actions in almost avoiding remembrance. I mocked them with this piece, demonstrating how they would have covered the second anniversary of the US at war.

In early December, 1944, three years after Pearl Harbor, we were liberating northwest Europe, and advancing on Germany. The last major German counterattack of the war, the so-called Battle of the Bulge, would occur in less than two weeks (events relating to which would have been covered by today’s media like this, and this). In the Pacific, we were starting to attack the Japanese homeland by air on a regular basis, and the bloody invasion of the island of Iwo Jima by US Marines, that would last several carnage-filled weeks, would begin the following day, on December 8th, with an initial naval bombardment.

On September 11, 2004, no one was paying much attention to what was happening in the war, because much of the media was engaged in trying to drag the rotting carcass of John Kerry’s presidential campaign across the finish line. The only war coverage was that of the daily attacks on our troops and the Iraqi people by the “insurgents” (many of whom were foreign saboteurs sent across the border into Iraq from Syria and Saudi Arabia, and supplied by Iran–three nations with whom we are at war, a reality that the administration remains unwilling to publicly acknowledge). But rather than attacking the president on this legitimate issue, the media preferred to prop up Dan Rather’s pathetic story about the president’s national guard service, while ignoring the many legitimate issues about Senator Kerry’s Vietnam record, both during and after his tour of duty.

On the fourth anniversary of Pearl Harbor, the war was over.

It had ended in Europe in May of 1945, and in the Pacific almost exactly sixty years ago, with the signing of the surrender treaty with the Japanese on the deck of the Missouri in Tokyo Harbor. There were storm clouds on the horizon, due to Stalin’s perfidy, but a relieved nation had fought off what was perceived to be an existential threat, with many military casualties (though nowhere near as many as other participants), and virtually unscathed on the home front (unlike much of Europe and Asia, in which many millions of civilians died, many brutally), and wanted to get back to normal life.

But four years after September 11th, we remain at war with another totalitarian ideology (and one that is in some ways an offspring of the Nazis, in both its hatred of those unlike the holders of it, and particularly of the Jews). And we’ve never been compelled, as a nation, to take this war as seriously as we were that one. There has been no draft, and despite daily death counts from the media, and parading bereaved mothers as proxies for their own war against the administration, there have not been thousands of gold stars in windows across the nation–the US casualties in the entire war to date would be dwarfed by those of any number of single battles in the second world war. As Lileks wrote two years ago, this war has a much different feel to it:

The old wars were simple: the other side had accents, uniforms, nations, cruel habits and urbane sneers. The old wars took years. The old wars were in black and white. The old wars were monophonic, scored by Max Steiner, released by Warner Brothers, and the only proof they really happened at all was the small battered box in the back of Dad

Pathetic

Since I know this is the first place you all come for your college football blogging, I just want to say how surprised I was by the Michigan game today. Oh, I expected them to lose, but I expected them to lose because the defense wouldn’t be able to keep Notre Dame from scoring the dozens of touchdowns that it would take to overcome the Wolverine offense. Instead, I was pleasantly surprised to see the defense finally show some steel, and unpleasantly surprised to see the wheels come completely off the offense. An offense which, by the way, was the only reason on paper that Michigan was ranked so absurdly high during pre-season, and even after the pathetic performance of the defense against Northern Illinois last week.

But what’s really amazing to me is that despite how badly the offense played (and particularly the quarterback, who really singlehandedly lost the game today), they came so close to winning it so many times. They just didn’t seem to want to. Also frustrating was how much they teased their loyal fans throughout the game, continually barely keeping hope alive, so we wouldn’t turn the game off and go do something useful. No team that gets inside the twenty yard line three times (and gets a first and goal on the one) and can’t come up with a score deserves to win.

Well, the bloom is off the rose, and it’s clear that this is a rebuilding year for Michigan. Carr should have changed quarterbacks sometime during the second half–he might have been able to eke out a win if he had. But at least now, there will be no false sense of grandeur, since there’s no way that they’ll maintain their lofty position in the polls (they never should have been that high in the first place, in my opinion), and get more serious about coming back. If Notre Dame goes on to have a good season, it won’t be shameful to have lost to them early, and while it’s extremely unlikely that Michigan will get to the Rose Bowl now (and in fact always was, despite the nonsensical early ranking), they still have a good chance at the BCS. I’m encouraged by the defense that I saw today, once they settled down, and the old saying is that it’s defense that wins championships.

If Michigan can play up to their potential on both sides of the ball, they’ll have a good season. But if the offense can’t get it together, or do better than they did today, it will merely be a long one.

[Evening update]

Halfway through the fourth quarter of the tOSU-Texas game, it’s clear that Michigan has a lot of improving to do to win the B10 championship this year, even disregarding the slaughter in Ames today, which will have a certain blogger who delights in mocking other people crying in his pork-fortified soy milk. The Buckeyes look pretty damn good.

[One more update, in the last few minutes of the game]

I’ve seen what seems to me to be an unusually high number of bad fumble calls today, only to see them reversed today after review, in both the Michigan and Ohio State games. I’m wondering if the refs are getting more sloppy in their play calling because they know that the ruling is reversible?

[Final update]

Well, with Ohio State’s loss (though they still look like scary opponents for Michigan in November), it was a disastrous day for the Big 10. Three teams in the top ten, and all lost today.

New Orleans and the Housing Bubble

There were 116 million homes in the US during the 2000 census. Now there are a couple hundred thousand fewer homes in the world and a couple hundred thousand more houses that people have been chased out of. That should fuel the housing price outside of New Orleans in several ways. First, more people will be purchasing homes outside of New Orleans. Second, more people will be renting homes outside of New Orleans driving up the price of substitutes. Third, building materials will be in high demand for a while driving up the cost of building new. Weighing against the bubble is the depression a lot of people face about the future.

High energy prices is kind of mixed for housing prices–it raises prices on close-in houses, lowers it on suburb houses, decreases business confidence, but may increase nominal house prices due to inflation.

In New Orleans, we are likely to see some fire sale prices. It is a good time to start a vulture fund to snap up those houses. New Orleans is likely to have a renaissance the same way that San Francisco, Boston and Chicago did after their big disasters.

Nice Try, But No Cigar

In the wake of the damage to Michoud by Katrina, and the threat to the Cape from Ophelia, one of Alan Boyle’s readers has an idea to avoid further impacts to the space program from tropical weather:

NASA will have to weigh the benefits of the possibility of keeping space shuttle faculties in the Gulf Coast or relocating elsewhere in the United States to avoid the specter of frequent hurricanes. In the beginning of the space shuttle program, Vandenberg Air Force Base (Lompoc, Calif.) was to be a West Coast launch site. Thanks to budget cuts, Vandenberg AFB never was expanded for shuttle launches. While NASA might have gotten off easy this time, NASA might not be so lucky after the next hurricane. NASA and its contractors might consider moving back out to the West Coast and move its displaced workers at the same time. The facilities are still here at Plant 42, Edwards Air Force Base and Phillips Laboratory as well as throughout Southern California.

“Having grown up in the Antelope Valley (in Lancaster), in the shadow of Edwards AFB (where the shuttle landed last time) and Palmdale

Junk Science In The Classroom

Jay Manifold says we should teach the controversy. Meanwhile, Richard Dawkins and Jerry Coyne write that we shouldn’t “teach both sides,” because one side is wrong. Well, in terms of science, that’s certainly the case. And here’s an interesting essay by John Poulos, who wonders why many Christians can believe in spontaneous order in the free market, but not in biology:

And what’s true at the personal level is true at the industrial level. Somehow there are enough ball bearings and computer chips in just the right places in factories all over the country.

The natural question… is who designed this marvel of complexity? Which commissar decreed the number of packets of dental floss for each retail outlet?

The answer, of course, is that no economic god designed this system. It emerged and grew by itself, a stunningly obvious example of spontaneously evolving order. No one argues that all the components of the candy bar distribution system must have been put into place at once, or else there would be no Snickers at the corner store…

[Both of the latter links via Geek Press]

Biting Commentary about Infinity…and Beyond!