An interesting post from Gaia Dempsey, CEO of Metaculus. Very interesting woman; I had lunch with her in Marina Del Rey a few months ago.
Category Archives: Mathematics
Face Masks
…seem to increase death rates.
It’s as though there’s no actual science behind these policies.
Our Failed Covid Response
A long but excellent history and analysis of perhaps the greatest public-policy blunder in history.
The Wargame Before The War
This is interesting. They did a pretty good job of gaming it out.
[Update Monday morning]
Your feel-good story of the day, if true: Russia has no options for victory, only defeat.
Oh, and by the way, I don’t think this would be “World War III.”
Climate Risk
How we’ve mischaracterized it.
I’ve noticed that in public-policy areas in which we do a crap job of risk assessment/tradeoffs, it is areas in which there are policy agendas independent of the actual issues.
Covid-Derangement Syndrome
Feds Make Tesla Remove Rolling Stops
Why that’s a really bad idea.
I’m putting this post up late tonight, because we just got back from the launch/landing at Vandenberg. I’m sure I’ll have more thoughts tomorrow, because I consider this a very important topic.
I will say, though, that the only moving ticket I’ve ever gotten other than speeding tickets, is for a rolling stop, and I consider it stupid.
“Don’t Look Up”
Web3
The Year Of Living Unreasonably
Thoughts from Ben Shapiro.