If this new paper is correct, we should be firing up our SUVs.
[Friday update]
Thirty years on, how do climate predictions hold up?
Not well. [paywall]
[Bumped]
Category Archives: Mathematics
The Risk Of Spaceflight
A new paper assessing spaceflight mortality. Not sure how useful it is, given the admitted paucity of data.
[Update a few minutes later]
When a Mars simulation goes wrong. Yes, we have a lot to learn before we go to other planets, and even then, people will die, often in terrible ways. Part of the answer is that we have to be more ambitious about how many we send. Six simply isn’t enough.
Big Falcon Rockets
…are falcon big. This is a cool video to give you a sense of scale.
Freeman Dyson
An interesting interview of one of the most fascinating men of the 20th century. I saw him at ISDC, and he is holding up well mentally, though he’s been physically frail for decades.
[Wednesday-afternoon update]
Well, the comments have certainly drifted on this one.
The Climate Debate
Judith Curry lays out her luke-warmist case.
The Climate Wars
The (rare) voices of reason:
10. Can we put the polarization genie back in the bottle, on climate or anything else? I really don’t know. But I do wonder how those advocating further radicalization of climate advocacy imagine any of this ends.
11. Making ever more radical demands might be a fine strategy were there someone to negotiate with. But by the reckoning of most prominent climate hawks, there isn’t.
12. Nor does it appear that a more inclusive climate coalition is likely to bring larger congressional majorities. Any Democrat-only climate strategy has to be predicated on not only winning but holding purple/red districts over multiple elections.
13. These are precisely the districts that radicalized climate rhetoric alienates culturally and the green policy agenda punishes economically. Since the failure of cap and trade in 2010, climate activists have taken rhetoric to 11, and what it got them was Trump.
And it will continue to.
How To Know If You Can Have A Conversation About Climate
Yes, all of these are a sign that the belief is religious, not scientific or rational.
CBO Estimates
Why they are useless BS, that can’t provide a guide to policy. Remember how the “tax cuts” were going to increase the deficit?
All told the government collected $515 billion and spent $297 billion, for a total monthly surplus of $218 billion. That swamped the previous monthly record of $190 billion, set in 2001.
CBO analysts were surprised by the surplus, which was some $40 billion more than they’d guessed at less than a month ago.
Analysts said they’ll have a better idea of what’s behind the surge as more information rolls in, but for now said it looks like individual taxpayers are paying more because they have higher incomes.
You don’t say.
Big Government And Bad Science
Probably not news to my readers, but here’s a Reason interview with Nina Teicholz on how government recommendations have made America fat.
Nutrition
“A 2011 analysis of 52 claims made by nutritional epidemiology tested in 12 well controlled trials found that not one of the 52 claims—0%–could be confirmed.”
Another sterling example of “science.”
[Update a while later]
Broken link fixed, sorry.