Category Archives: Mathematics

Data And Numbers

Where are we really with the virus?

Note that (as is often the case with healthcare statistics) different countries are keeping books differently, making it difficult to compare. I continue to believe that the fatality rate will ultimately end up being far below one percent.

[Update early afternoon]

A lot of links from Instapundit. Things are looking better than the models. One I found of interest is that if we can believe Chinese data, four out of five cases are asymptomatic.

Free-Market Health Care

How would it respond to the virus?

It’s been many decades since there’s been anything resembling a free market in this country’s health care, other than things like Lasik.

[Update a few minutes later]

Speaking of (lack of) free markets, restaurants in Los Angeles are being shut down for selling groceries without a license.

Government seems determined to put business out of business.

The California Herd

Virus thoughts from VDH. I don’t buy the 1-2% number. I think it will ultimately be shown to be much lower than that.

[Update a few minutes later]

More from VDH: Viral Prerequisites and Nationalist Lessons in Time of Plague.

[Update late morning]

Why herd immunity is not a solution, at least not without a vaccine.

I agree on principle, but I continue to believe that the ratio of infections to deaths is much less than one percent.

[Update a few minutes later]

Time for a second opinion.

The CCP

continues the cover up.

The CCP has been lying from the beginning, and continues to, yet their media organs the NYT, WaPo, CNN et al continue to carry their water, because Orange Man Bad.

Mark Levin said on his show last night that the Soviet Union never damaged our country (and the world) the way that the CCP has. I’m not sure that’s true, if you look at the decades-long damage it did, but it certainly never killed people and destroyed wealth this quickly.

[Tuesday-morning update]

The Chinese Communist Party versus America.

[Bumped]

[Update a few minutes later]

Why China must be held accountable.

I’d start by recognizing Taiwan.

[Update a while later]

How China’s lies brought the world to its knees.

The Virus

…has exposed Americans’ disconnect from reality.

[Update a while later]

Nancy Pelosi and the politics pandemic.

[Update a while later]

Goodbye, Green New Deal.

Set aside, for the moment, any reservations you might have about the coronavirus-emergency regime, and set aside your views on climate change, too, whatever they may be. Instead, ask yourself this: If Americans are this resistant to paying a large economic price to enable measures meant to prevent a public-health catastrophe in the here and now — one that threatens the lives of people they know and love — then how much less likely are they to bear not weeks or months but decades of disruption and economic dislocation and a permanently diminished standard of living in order to prevent possibly severe consequences to people in Bangladesh or Indonesia 80 or 100 years from now?

Not a prayer.

[Update later morning]

Yes, the president is not wrong: Pelosi is a sick puppy.

Remaining U.S. Hospital Capacity

A hard look.

I’m unlikely to be killed by this thing, but I don’t want to even get it, let alone be hospitalized.

[Wednesday-morning update]

Why that doomsday scenario is likely way off.

[Bumped]

[Wednesday-afternoon update]

Bob Zimmerman doesn’t think that this will overwhelm our national hospital capacity. Though it does seem to be doing so in New York city.

Five Needed Paradigm Shifts

revealed by the pandemic. The latter two are particularly important.

[Update a while later]

Related: A litany of useless laws have been exposed as well.

[Update a while more later]

The coming age of dispersion.

We’ve been wanting to get out of the city for a long time. Most people don’t realize how large and empty the American west is, including California itself. New technology is going to make it increasingly possible and affordable to live comfortably off the grid.