Has it been here (at least in the Bay Area) a lot longer than we thought? I think it’s quite plausible that it was here in December, which in a sense is good news, because it probably means we already have a lot more herd immunity than we thought, and the fatality rate is much lower than earlier fears.
Category Archives: Mathematics
Optimism
We are 100 times safer now than in early March. Hope this is right.
Potential Treatments
The world’s largest supercomputer has found 77 of them.
That’s fast, but faster, please.
Testing Efficiency
This is the way to do it.
As the thread points out, you could just do one test per household, on the assumption that if one is infected, all are or will be. Hope the CDC/White House are aware of this thinking, because it makes a hell of a lot of sense to accelerate our knowledge of the scope.
[Early-afternoon update]
Turns out there’s a rapid-test device already available in hospitals.
Coronavirus Deaths
When are they actually coronavirus deaths?
Dying with coronavirus does not necessarily imply dying from it.
Fred Singer
RIP.
A great scientist, despite all the dragging by the climate hysterisists and warm mongers. Shame to lose him and Freeman so close together.
It’s Not A Choice
…between living and the economy.
And no one gets out of here alive.
Data And Numbers
Where are we really with the virus?
Note that (as is often the case with healthcare statistics) different countries are keeping books differently, making it difficult to compare. I continue to believe that the fatality rate will ultimately end up being far below one percent.
[Update early afternoon]
A lot of links from Instapundit. Things are looking better than the models. One I found of interest is that if we can believe Chinese data, four out of five cases are asymptomatic.
Free-Market Health Care
How would it respond to the virus?
It’s been many decades since there’s been anything resembling a free market in this country’s health care, other than things like Lasik.
[Update a few minutes later]
Speaking of (lack of) free markets, restaurants in Los Angeles are being shut down for selling groceries without a license.
Government seems determined to put business out of business.
Humans
