Category Archives: General

A Brave Woman

And a great journalist. Oriana Fallaci, rest in peace. Don’t know where she’ll end up–she was a devout atheist, but unlike many of her (non)religious cohorts, she was able to make the distinction between modern Christianity and the medieval Islamists with whom we are war.

[Update at noon]

Michael Ledeen, who was her friend, has some thoughts. Also, as Monte Davis notes in comments, her book If The Sun Dies is a classic for those interested in space. Perhaps Apogee could do a reprint in her honor, if they could get permission of the estate. And wherever she is now, if she sees Pete Conrad there, maybe she’ll finally pay off the bet.

[Update at 5:30 PM EDT]

A more extensive eulogy from Michael Ledeen:

Those who know Italy will recognize Orianna as the quintessential Tuscan, right out of the texts: tough, intellectually brutal, brilliantly and eloquently disparaging of anyone who doesn

Condolences

To Josh Marshall, who just lost his father. I know the feeling, though the pain is long dull now–I lost mine half a lifetime ago.

[Update in the afternoon]

While Josh has written a beautiful eulogy, am I the only one to wonder why he has a different last name than his father?

[Update]

Commenters, who read his piece more carefully than I, point out the numerous references as to why they don’t share the same last name, which makes his eulogy even more heart felt and sad. He was his father in deeds, if not biology, and the reverence, love and grief should be respected all the more.

Great

With the Tigers in a slump, their nearest rivals, the Twins and the White Sox are playing the worst teams in the respective divisions, while Detroit plays the Yankees.

Dodging A Bullet?

It’s starting to look as though Ernesto is running out of steam. Cuba apparently beat it up pretty badly (I always find it weird, and frustrating given that it’s hard and unpleasant to visit under the current regime, that while Florida and the Bahamas are flatter than pancakes, Cuba–just a couple hundred miles away–has these several-thousand foot, presumably scenic mountains).

Anyway, it’s barely a tropical storm, and will take a long time to reorganize in crossing the Florida Straights, so the expection now is that it will come ashore as a tropical storm, rather than the one or two hurricane that was predicted this morning. It’s still headed right at us, though. I’m now debating whether to shutter. I’ll still have time to do it in the morning, when we’ll have a better idea what’s going on.

[Update a few minutes later]

I should note, in deference to the Carolinas and mid-Atlantic, that this storm may still have its say. I hope that they get off as lucky as it looks as though Florida will, but the models for them don’t look as optimistic for them right now.

Maybe It Can Keep Up The Trend

The storm track has shifted east again. Now we’re almost right in the bullseye, with the track having the eye go right over the house. The only good thing will be that, if the trend continues, it will start to move away from us (which doesn’t mean it won’t hit us directly, of course, since this is all probabilistic). The bad news is that the farther east it is, the more powerful it will get, because it will be out over the warm Bahamian waters getting fueled, and it also means more chance for damaging storm surge on the Florida east coast.

Up Go The Shutters

I was hoping to avoid it this year, but that was wishful thinking. It is ironic, though, that the first hurricane of the season is coming right up the Florida peninsula. Hope it’s not a harbinger of the next two or three months.

The scary thing is that the NHS is saying there’s a possibility of strengthening to a two or three before it heads into the swamp. It would probably lose some strength over land, but a semi-major hurricane coming all the way up Florida, then continuing on up the coast into the Carolinas is going to cause a lot of cumulative damage, even if it’s not as intense as Katrina was, particularly considering property values in south Florida. I just hope the track doesn’t shift even further east and scrub us directly or from just off shore, in which case we might actually have to evacuate due to potential for flooding from surge.

It should also be noted that the track of this storm takes it just to the west of KSC. They’ll have to roll the Shuttle back (or at least start preparing for it–they could change their minds for a period of another day or so). Probably no launch this week (and maybe none next unless they can get some kind of accommodation with the Russians to resolve the schedule conflict with the Soyuz mission).

Nasty Weather?

We’ve had a quiet season so far, but as we get into the end of August, that could be changing:

The Canadian model continues to be very consistent and very gung-ho, developing 97L into a strong tropical storm on Saturday, south of Jamaica, then taking the storm into the Gulf of Mexico as a hurricane.

Two Confidence Anecdotes

I recently got a call from Chase left on my answering machine telling me to call an 800 number and have my credit card available to authenticate myself. The trouble is, they didn’t authenticate themselves. Anyone could have made that call to me and if I did what the call said, I would be giving my credit card number (and probably the date, secret code and every else they asked me) to a bad actor. I authenticated them by dialing the number on the back of my card, but I worry that there will be a smart confidence man who will figure this out before the rest of the world figures out how to stop leaving openings.

I also received two calls about my “Virgin lottery territory” piece that Buzz Aldrin liked. Two other people called because they received checks from a “Virgin Lottery” that didn’t cash, they searched for that on the web and my article and phone number came up. Never mind that my article dealt with the 17th century lottery that helped fund Virginia colonization, they thought I might know something about modern fraud.