There’s no way countries that are growing their economies the most will agree to stringent caps on carbon dioxide emissions based on historical levels. This historical-cap framework rewards the countries that have shrinking populations and manufacturing. Instead Canada (as also noted in today’s WSJ) and others are focusing on CO2 intensity. E.g., how much CO2 is produced per kwh of electricity generated or per barrel of oil pumped? These are measures that don’t hurt production and labor mobility. Some say they don’t have bite. But if a CO2 reduction policy bites too much (pun intended)–especially in a way that caps economic growth–then the growing polluting countries will ignore it.