I’m betting SLS will launch 3 times, just enough to run out of existing engines. Provide it doesn’t fall down go boom, of course.
Regardless of which one is first, the odds are approaching 1.000 for who will fly twice first. I think the only chance SLS has of flying twice before Starship is the federal bureaucracy stepping in, which unfortunately isn’t a zero chance.
The Commie Commenters are Ars are demanding SpaceX be nationalized, Musk stripped of his fortune and imprisoned for the good of humanity.
No question in my mind, on which will fly successfully first.
My money is on Starship. First, and second.
It might be a wee bit easier to predict which will be the first to fly last.
It seems that the uncertainty is ubiquitous: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/technology/nasa-sets-november-date-for-next-sls-moon-rocket-delay-er-launch/ar-AA12SOuX
Think it will launch in 2024?
First, second, third. SLS will only launch once.
I’m betting SLS will launch 3 times, just enough to run out of existing engines. Provide it doesn’t fall down go boom, of course.
Regardless of which one is first, the odds are approaching 1.000 for who will fly twice first. I think the only chance SLS has of flying twice before Starship is the federal bureaucracy stepping in, which unfortunately isn’t a zero chance.
The Commie Commenters are Ars are demanding SpaceX be nationalized, Musk stripped of his fortune and imprisoned for the good of humanity.
No question in my mind, on which will fly successfully first.