History, Media Criticism, Political Commentary, Social Commentary

Biden’s Internal Polling

24 Comments

…must be telling the campaign something lot different from the public polls. With the defections from the blacks and Hispanics, and the elderly, I’m starting to think it may be a Trump landslide, which will be needed to overcome all of the fraud. Biden probably blew Pennsylvania in the debate. If he loses Minnesota, it’s game over.

[Update a while later]

More on the state of the race in Minnesota.

24 thoughts on “Biden’s Internal Polling”

  2. Trump is going to run the table in swing states. Nationally, this could be the most lopsided election since LBJ stomped Goldwater in 1964.

    1. Well, we’ll know pretty soon how this all turns out . . say, when the US Supreme Court rules on the Pennsylvania Recount?

  3. I’m down to three events happening next Tuesday:
    1) Biden is announced winner, and the media/tech giants put a lid on Trump and any supporters complaining about it.
    2) Trump is announced winner, but its a close call, many days are needed for recounts and in the meantime paid protestors will interfere with recounts and blamed on Trump. Regardless of outcome of recount, it will be called a stolen election.
    3) Trump wins in a landslide, and any mention of the threats of violence on the left, which ought to be investigated and prosecuted, will be called conspiracy theories.

    I’m not putting a lot of stock in that last one, either that the first part happens or the lack of violence. Still, it is the most hopeful that such a big win will shut them up.

    1. Shenanigans for sure and the media will be on the Democrat’s side. When Democrats contest results, it will be portrayed as Trump suppressing votes and when Trump contests results, it will be portrayed as a coup, refusing to give up power, and discgracing the peaceful transition of power.

      Riots will happen no matter who wins. Progressive Marxist Democrats want vengeance. With Harris in control, it will be open season on non-Democrats and the federal government will help organize the direct action campaigns.

      I hope Trump wins but the only thing I feel comfortable predicting is a close election. Some states have changed When they will announce a winner and Democrats are pressuring media companies not to make announcements. Social media companies are also going to be censoring their opposition. So even if it isn’t close, it will be made to appear close.

  4. I’m a pessimist because optimists can’t be pleasantly surprised. I want to be pleasantly surprised as I was four years ago.

    The real question is whether those voting for Trump in states like Minn. and Mich. are willing to vote for down-ballot GOP candidates for the Senate and House, too. Flipping those two seats, for example, would almost insure GOP control over the confirmation process for two more years.

    1. I suspect that a lot of people who usually vote mixed ticket will vote party line, no matter what party they vote for.

  5. My prediction; if Trump wins in a landslide Tuesday, on Wednesday the Democrats impeach him again, this time due to his racist hair color.

        1. Those few months (Nov, Dec through to Jan20)
          will be easy for Trump to handle after 4+ years of nonstop attack.

          Especially if the Dems are humiliated this election.

          I’m thinking back to the midterms after Obamacide was passed where the Dems took – in Obama’s words – a shellacking. The reasons for shellacking the Dems, then, were nothing as compared to what they are now.

  6. I think the internal polls of both parties must differ from the public ones because for at least a month now I have seen TV ads from both campaigns running frequently here in NY, both in the city and also up in the Albany area. I don’t mean ads just for for local candidates (we’ve always had those ads) but rather for both Trump and sleepy Joe – the big dogs themselves! I’ve also heard a radio item touting Trump in among the commercials on a Rush Limbaugh show no less! Why would they waste the money if NY State is a lock for the dems? Also, I don’t understand why I’ve seen absolutely no public reference to this highly unusual phenomenon – surely I’m not the only person to have spotted it?

    1. Rather than a sign of trouble, although it could be in some markets, I think Democrats don’t want a repeat of 2016 where Hillary didn’t put in the effort because she though some states were a lock. Both campaigns have plenty of resources to compete in all the states.

      1. Both campaigns have plenty of resources

        Except for Biden’s attention span; that’s in distinctly limited supply.

  7. “Why would they waste the money if NY State is a lock for the dems?”
    Well if you believe Dr Steve Turley the House of Representatives just might be in play:

    “Pelosi PANICS as the GOP Within STRIKING DISTANCE of CONTROLLING The HOUSE!!!”

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sw-f_J8gS6A

    So basically every vote might count even in states expected to vote for Biden depending on how the Congressional districts are drawn in NY State.

  8. Although nothing is certain, I’m fairly confident Trump will win bigly.

    My concern is the House and Senate. I want to at least retain the lead in the Senate – would be good to expand it.

    But I would REALLY like to gain the House. Then we can stop all this impeachement/obstruction nonsense and Trump can get far more done.

  9. “With the defections from the blacks and Hispanics, and the elderly, I’m starting to think it may be a Trump landslide,..”

    Well there is this:

    “Nearly one-third of black voters will vote for Trump, Rasmussen report finds”
    “Almost one-third of black voters would vote for President Trump “if the presidential election was held today,” according to a new survey.

    On Thursday, Rasmussen Reports, which typically produces Trump’s preferred surveys, showed the number steadily increased from 27% to 31% since Monday. The company has boasted of accurately predicting the results of the 2016 election.

    According to Rasmussen’s White House Watch poll, also released Thursday, Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden holds a 1 point lead over Trump among likely voters, with only 2% answering they were undecided.

    The poll was conducted Oct. 26-28 among 1,500 people with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points. Trump had an identical lead ahead of Biden one day earlier.

    Oct 29, 2020 – Morning Reader Data Points:

    “If the presidential election was held today, would you vote for Donald Trump or Joe Biden?”

    National Daily Black Likely Voter % For @POTUS – October 26-29, 2020

    Mon 10/26 – 27%
    Tue 10/27 – 30%
    Wed 10/28 – 30%
    Thu 10/29 – 31%
    — Rasmussen Reports (@Rasmussen_Poll) October 29, 2020

    Trump earned similar support from black voters following the Republican National Convention this summer, according to a Hill-HarrisX poll. That poll shows Trump with a 24% and 32% approval rating from black voters and Hispanic voters, respectively.

    With only five days until the upcoming election, over 79 million voters have already cast their ballots. Within the week prior to the election, Catalist, a data and analytics company for Democrats, found black voters have expanded their share of ballots cast in this election compared with the last election cycle in key states, including Florida and Michigan. In Florida, that number has grown to 13% so far compared to 12% in 2016. In Michigan, black voters account for 12% of ballots cast compared to 8% in 2016.”

    https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/nearly-one-third-of-black-voters-will-vote-for-trump-rasmussen-report-finds

    1. There is a black supremecist movement called Foundational Black Americans. They hate white people, Hispanics, Asians, immigrants, and pretty much everyone else. Usually they vote Democrat but this year, many of them won’t.

      A key part of this movement is black empowerment through entrepreneurship. They are very open to Republican ecconomic policy but hate the white devil Republicans. They also despise Democrats as not doing anything for black people and supporting other ethnic groups at the expense of black folk. When 50 cent got pissed about Biden’s tax plans, this ressonated in the FBA community.

      IMO, Democrats have been organizing race riots to get this demographic to vote or at least, turn them against voting Trump. While the riots started out being about specific incidents, they are now anti-Trump events.

      Many of this key Democrat demographic wont be voting Democrat but who can say how many will overcome their racism to vote for Trump and economic empowerment.

      1. “They hate white people, Hispanics, Asians, immigrants, and pretty much everyone else. Usually they vote Democrat but this year, many of them won’t.”

        Reminds me of something I remember hearing about Apache Indians don’t know if it is true; that they basically hated everyone that wasn’t Apache. White, Black, Mexican, other Indian tribes, pretty much everyone else. Can’t vouch for its accuracy.

  11. Anecdotally, I’ve noticed people from groups on the societal fringe that you would never in a million years would suspect as Trump supporters being vocal in their support of Trump or rejection of Democrats. I didn’t do a study or anything but the support Democrats have enjoyed from many subcultures wont be what it was a decade ago no matter who wins next week.

    I haven’t noticed the same for Biden.

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