In which we may not be able to predict natural variability.
Gee, just like now. This is profoundly ignorant of history. Does he imagine anyone predicted the Medieval Warm Period? Or the Little Ice Age? Has he ever heard of the Dust Bowl?
5 thoughts on ““A Dark Future””
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Minoan Climate Optimum: The era in which the first civilizations showed up.
Break in the warmth: Fall of all the earliest civilizations.
Roman Climate Optimum: -Five- wheat harvests a year in Egypt. Rise of Rome, spread of civilizations.
Break in the warmth: Fall of Rome. And everywhere else.
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Then there were the scientists advising the 20th US President, Garfield, that the dry western plains and prairies would blossom with corn and vegetables under cultivation, because “the rain follows the plow”.
It’s not that the science is wrong, per se, it’s that making grand policy decisions for nations continents and worlds based upon science is still premature.
We are also coming to understand enough of the physics to make useful global and regional climate projections a decade or more ahead.
The intermediate time period is our big challenge.
It’s just a tad self serving that the “correct” prediction is always decades in the future before anyone will know if the prediction is right or wrong. They can’t predict the intermediate but everything decades from now is totally locked down. Climate science really needs to have demonstrated a proven track record before they go all apocalypto on us.
A hallmark of pseudoscience.
“Science is mathematical modeling of reality, empirically constrained. Science strives for spareness of form with maximum generality. Science discards models which make predictions not borne out by reality.” Alan Schwarz
If there isn’t a testable prediction, what you are doing is not science.