Twenty Years On

I wrote a long-form post at X.

6 thoughts on “Twenty Years On”

  1. The federal government is long past due for a downsizing. In some cases that can be accomplished by a shuffle, such as transferring the duties of FAA-AST (but not the personnel) to Space Force.

  2. I hope the the right space nerds are positioning themselves for a place in the next Trump administration. Presidents have a lot going on and need reliable people in and out of the administration to get things like this done

    1. Ditto. Assuming Trump wins. Otherwise it will be another four years of delay and review and other fishy business.

  3. I agree with you Rand on the VG architecture vs. XCOR.

    The extendable wings that convert Spaceship 1&2 from rocket ship to shuttlecock to flyable glider give me concern about how much margin is available during conversion and flight stability during that time. You wouldn’t want to get stuck with the wings in some halfway configuration. Also as you’ve mentioned before, the hybrid propulsion system seems unnecessarily restrictive and troublesome and not that much simpler versus a more straightforward liquid design.

    If I were in pursuit of a suborbital experience, I’d be more likely to go the New Shepard route. The Blue Origin system just seems to have more (and better) margins to me.

    But as you point out, with orbital not that far away, what is there truly to enjoy via a suborbital experience?

    If point-to-point Starship becomes a reality, its primary purpose won’t be for joy rides once it gets past the demo stage. And that seems to be a viable market possibility.

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