…has evaporated.
Polls this early don’t mean that much, particularly when it’s “registered,” not likely voters. And it doesn’t take into account the enthusiasm factor. I think that there are a lot more people who would crawl over broken glass to vote for Trump than for Biden.
11 thoughts on “Biden’s Edge Over Trump”
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On the flip side, we have all those media people who don’t care how many people Biden may have raped, because he’s not
Trumpa Republican.Personally, I’ll crawl over burning broken glass to vote for Trump. Not because I have any great love for him, but I have an infinity of loathing for the people who would be Biden’s puppetmasters.
I’m taking a sort of opposite approach to yours. I will crawl over broken glass to vote, and my motivation is Joe Biden. I’m motivated, extremely so, by him, to vote against him. Thus, I disagree with those who say he’s not motivating, and that he does not generate enthusiasm (I’m very enthusiastic to vote against him!).
Biden has become a liability, so the Democrats need polls showing he’ll lose to Trump so they can justify tossing him out and replacing him with their hand-picked candidate.
Bingo. They will lose with Cuomo/Harris
It’s been my observation, over the years, that polls of adults skew Democratic the most, polls of registered voters somewhat less and polls of likely voters least. Polls by organizations that tilt left skew more Democratic than polls by organizations that don’t. This poll was by a left-tilting organization and was of mostly registered voters.
The gap between Trump’s approval and disapproval numbers was 11 points, whereas the gap in his vote-for vs. won’t-vote-for numbers was only two points. And his vote-for number was only a point different than his support number.
But two weeks ago the vote-for/won’t-vote-for gap was eight points and last week it was still six.
So pretty much everyone who approves of Trump will vote for him.
But, in the last two weeks, a lot of people who don’t approve of Trump have defected from Joe Biden’s vote-for bloc without joining Trump’s. I think this “Sitting This One Out Caucus” is also growing rapidly, given that it’s now reached at least the 6% level after just two weeks. If last week’s rate of vote-for-Biden defections is equalled this week, the next set of these poll results is likely to show Trump leading in vote-fors even if by a very narrow margin.
Added to Trump’s leads on responses to other poll questions, and factoring out the very left-wing nature of the Reuters organization, this news borders on the disastrous for the Biden campaign. That would be especially true if the Reade allegation is the main cause of Joe’s falling vote-for numbers. Only half the poll sample acknowledged knowing of Reade’s accusation. And that number can only rise beteen now and Nov.
Democrats rigging the nomination for someone other than Biden after rigging for Biden wont sit well for a number of Democrats.
I find it nothing short of horrifying that Joe Biden is being discussed as a serious candidate for President of the United States, and that the discussions are regarded as serious. The phenomenon speaks volumes not about the voters, but about the voices in the “discussion” on both sides of the aisle. They evidently believe that the voters accept their BS. Yet they still hold positions of power and influence in media, academia, and politics.
I share your sentiments.
Quite apart from Joe Biden’s long history of corruption, dishonesty, sexual shenanigans and struggles with the English language, he has also obviously degenerated in recent months to a status increasingly resembling that of a root vegetable.
The vast majority of media personalities continue to treat all this in terms of, “Nothing to see here. Move along.” And a very significant plurality of the American public buys this obvious line of crap and regards its leading purveyors as sober, serious, “smart” people.
The fact that corrupt elites and schemers are liars and scumbags is hardly surprising. What is truly appalling is that so many ordinary Americans seem not to care or even to celebrate this degeneracy.
There is a non-trivial problem here. Re-electing Trump, while a vital pre-requisite, is only a modest scratching of the surface of what’s going to need to be done to retrieve the nation and the culture from the ideological Visigoths and Vandals now merrily laying waste to both.
There was this movie “The Seduction of Joe Tynan” about a more-liberal-than-thou Northeast senator who sets out to torpedo a Supreme Court nominee and in the process has a “fling” with Meryl Streep. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Seduction_of_Joe_Tynan
I watched it with my sister of all people, whom I visited when she was in grad school, to drop off a car that my parents had purchased on her behalf. My sister let me drive it the summer before during my internship, with my driving it a considerable distance to deliver it part of the bargain for having the use of it.
I mean whose sister takes you to see a movie about a sleazy politician who cheats on this wife, but in a college town, it was the talked-about must-see movie at the time. Now, no one has even heard of it.
Of course this is a fiction and not a documentary, but there was a kind of “just the names were changed” vibe to it. Joe Tynan/Joe Biden was an association I made at the time, but the Alan Alda character was a lot more glamorous than the public image of Joe Biden — I thought it was based on Ted Kennedy or at least on a composite of more-liberal-than-thou Northeast senators.
Was the movie sharing an insider’s perspective on a younger Joe Biden? In this movie about being seduced by fame, power, love, did the real-life Joe Biden know all three?
One aspect of current polling, IMHO, is that Joe Biden has largely been off stage. As even some journalists have said, Biden does better when he’s not making appearances or speaking.
However, he can’t do a fall campaign by staying hidden and silent.
I also predict that the Democrats will try to find an excuse for skipping the presidential debates. On the flip side, if there are debates, I hope Trump does not get overconfident. We saw that happen to Paul Ryan – Biden basically stomped him in the 2012 VP debate, basically by talking over him and and coming across as a “good old boy”. Paul Ryan made the mistake of thinking that the debate was on facts rather than appearances.