Could a Republican be about to take the seat of Gerri Ferraro and Chuckie Schumer? It’s about Israel, and gay marriage.

Albany is run by the Dems, and if they lose that seat, they may just redistrict it out of existence (something they were considering after Weiner imploded anyway). But psychologically, such a perceived referendum on the White House won’t bode well for the election next year and traditional Jewish support for both Obama and Democrats in general.